Run the NHL Draft Lottery's two draws with the 10-spot movement cap that keeps the worst team from falling past third.
2026-27 NHL Draft Lottery Simulator
Live standings updated ET
- 1
Vancouver CanucksSeed 1 - 2
Chicago BlackhawksSeed 2 - 3
Philadelphia FlyersSeed 3 - 4
Los Angeles KingsSeed 4 - 5
Calgary FlamesSeed 5 - 6
Columbus Blue JacketsSeed 6 - 7
Winnipeg JetsSeed 7 - 8
Anaheim DucksSeed 8 - 9
Pittsburgh PenguinsSeed 9 - 10
Nashville PredatorsSeed 10 - 11
St. Louis BluesSeed 11 - 12
New York RangersSeed 12 - 13
San Jose SharksSeed 13 - 14
Buffalo SabresSeed 14 - 15
Detroit Red WingsSeed 15 - 16
Colorado AvalancheSeed 16
Full odds distribution
Simulate 10,000 lotteries to see each seed's chance at every pick, including the effect of caps and floors.
Run the distribution to see how often each seed lands on each pick.
2026-27 draft board
Top 16 teams are in the lottery, ordered worst record first.
| Pick | Team | Record | Pts | Pts% | GB | Strk | Diff | Combos | Draw 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Canucks | 3-11-1 | 7 | .233 | 17 | L1 | -23 | 185 | 18.5% |
| 2 | Chicago Blackhawks | 4-9-0 | 8 | .308 | 16 | L1 | -21 | 135 | 13.5% |
| 3 | Philadelphia Flyers | 3-8-4 | 10 | .333 | 14 | L3 | -22 | 115 | 11.5% |
| 4 | Los Angeles Kings | 4-6-2 | 10 | .417 | 14 | W1 | -8 | 95 | 9.5% |
| 5 | Calgary Flames | 5-7-0 | 10 | .417 | 14 | L1 | -17 | 85 | 8.5% |
| 6 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5-6-0 | 10 | .455 | 14 | L1 | -8 | 75 | 7.5% |
| 7 | Winnipeg Jets | 4-6-3 | 11 | .423 | 13 | L7 | -10 | 65 | 6.5% |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 5-7-1 | 11 | .423 | 13 | L2 | -7 | 60 | 6.0% |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5-6-2 | 12 | .462 | 12 | L1 | -1 | 50 | 5.0% |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 4-4-5 | 13 | .500 | 11 | L2 | -6 | 35 | 3.5% |
| 11 | St. Louis Blues | 6-6-1 | 13 | .500 | 11 | W1 | +1 | 30 | 3.0% |
| 12 | New York Rangers | 7-6-1 | 15 | .536 | 9 | L3 | +2 | 25 | 2.5% |
| 13 | San Jose Sharks | 7-6-1 | 15 | .536 | 9 | W1 | -7 | 20 | 2.0% |
| 14 | Buffalo Sabres | 6-4-3 | 15 | .577 | 9 | W2 | -7 | 15 | 1.5% |
| 15 | Detroit Red Wings | 6-4-3 | 15 | .577 | 9 | W2 | -1 | 5 | 0.5% |
| 16 | Colorado Avalanche | 7-5-1 | 15 | .577 | 9 | W1 | +12 | 5 | 0.5% |
| 17 | Dallas Stars | 7-5-1 | 15 | .577 | 9 | L2 | +5 | - | - |
| 18 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7-6-2 | 16 | .533 | 8 | L2 | +5 | - | - |
| 19 | Florida Panthers | 7-4-2 | 16 | .615 | 8 | W2 | +2 | - | - |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 7-4-2 | 16 | .615 | 8 | W2 | +5 | - | - |
| 21 | New Jersey Devils | 8-5-0 | 16 | .615 | 8 | L1 | +5 | - | - |
| 22 | Washington Capitals | 8-4-0 | 16 | .667 | 8 | W3 | +6 | - | - |
| 23 | Ottawa Senators | 8-5-1 | 17 | .607 | 7 | L2 | 0 | - | - |
| 24 | Seattle Kraken | 8-4-1 | 17 | .654 | 7 | W1 | +4 | - | - |
| 25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 8-3-1 | 17 | .708 | 7 | W1 | +6 | - | - |
| 26 | Utah Mammoth | 9-5-0 | 18 | .643 | 6 | W1 | +5 | - | - |
| 27 | Montreal Canadiens | 8-3-2 | 18 | .692 | 6 | W4 | +5 | - | - |
| 28 | Boston Bruins | 9-4-1 | 19 | .679 | 5 | L2 | +18 | - | - |
| 29 | Vegas Golden Knights | 9-4-1 | 19 | .679 | 5 | W1 | +12 | - | - |
| 30 | Edmonton Oilers | 9-2-2 | 20 | .769 | 4 | W1 | +13 | - | - |
| 31 | Minnesota Wild | 9-3-3 | 21 | .700 | 3 | L1 | +12 | - | - |
| 32 | Carolina Hurricanes | 11-2-2 | 24 | .800 | - | W3 | +20 | - | - |
2026-27 lottery odds
Combination counts as published by the league.
| Seed | Team | Combinations | Draw odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Canucks | 185 | 18.50% |
| 2 | Chicago Blackhawks | 135 | 13.50% |
| 3 | Philadelphia Flyers | 115 | 11.50% |
| 4 | Los Angeles Kings | 95 | 9.50% |
| 5 | Calgary Flames | 85 | 8.50% |
| 6 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 75 | 7.50% |
| 7 | Winnipeg Jets | 65 | 6.50% |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 60 | 6.00% |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 50 | 5.00% |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 35 | 3.50% |
| 11 | St. Louis Blues | 30 | 3.00% |
| 12 | New York Rangers | 25 | 2.50% |
| 13 | San Jose Sharks | 20 | 2.00% |
| 14 | Buffalo Sabres | 15 | 1.50% |
| 15 | Detroit Red Wings | 5 | 0.50% |
| 16 | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 0.50% |
How the NHL lottery works
- 1All 16 teams that miss the playoffs enter the lottery, seeded in inverse order of regular-season points.
- 2Fourteen balls generate 1,001 combinations, one of which is a designated redraw, so 1,000 combinations are spread across the field.
- 3There are two draws: one for the first overall pick and one for the second. The rest of the top 16 fills by inverse points order.
- 4A team can move up a maximum of 10 spots. Only seeds 1 through 11 can actually land the first pick, and if a team seeded 12th or worse wins the first draw it moves up exactly 10 while the first pick reverts to the worst team.
- 5That cap is why the worst team's real chance at the first pick is about 25.5 percent even though it holds only 18.5 percent of the combinations.
- 6A club may not win a lottery draw more than twice in any five-year span.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of winning the NHL draft lottery?
The team with the fewest points holds 185 of the 1,000 combinations for an 18.5 percent chance in the first draw, down to 0.5 percent for the two best non-playoff teams. Because of the 10-spot movement cap, its effective chance at the first overall pick is about 25.5 percent.
How many picks does the NHL lottery decide?
Two. One draw sets the first overall pick and a second sets the second overall pick. Everything else in the top 16 is ordered by inverse regular-season points.
How far can a team move up in the NHL draft lottery?
Ten spots. A team seeded 16th that wins a draw moves to sixth, not first, and no team can fall more than two spots.
