Skip to content
Draft Lottery Simulator

Simulate the MLB Draft Lottery for the top six picks, including the repeat rule that removes clubs from the drawing entirely.

2026 MLB Draft Lottery Simulator

Live standings updated ET

PickTeam
  1. 1Colorado RockiesSeed 1
  2. 2Los Angeles AngelsSeed 2
  3. 3AthleticsSeed 3
  4. 4San Francisco GiantsSeed 4
  5. 5Kansas City RoyalsSeed 5
  6. 6New York MetsSeed 6
  7. 7Cincinnati RedsSeed 7
  8. 8Detroit TigersSeed 8
  9. 9Seattle MarinersSeed 9
  10. 10Minnesota TwinsSeed 10
  11. 11St. Louis CardinalsSeed 11
  12. 12Washington NationalsSeed 12
  13. 13Toronto Blue JaysSeed 13
  14. 14Baltimore OriolesSeed 14
  15. 15Miami MarlinsSeed 15
  16. 16Texas RangersSeed 16
  17. 17Houston AstrosSeed 17
  18. 18Pittsburgh PiratesSeed 18

Full odds distribution

Simulate 10,000 lotteries to see each seed's chance at every pick, including the effect of caps and floors.

Run the distribution to see how often each seed lands on each pick.

2026 draft board

Top 18 teams are in the lottery, ordered worst record first.

Full draft order
MLB 2026 standings sorted into projected draft order, with lottery combinations and odds.
PickTeamRecordPctGBStrkDiffCombosNo. 1 odds
1Colorado Rockies58-104.35845L1-19216516.5%
2Los Angeles Angels62-100.38341L2-9716516.5%
3Athletics64-98.39539L2-23816516.5%
4San Francisco Giants65-97.40138L5-9113213.2%
5Kansas City Royals69-93.42634W1-12010010.0%
6New York Mets74-88.45729L1-32757.5%
7Cincinnati Reds75-87.46328L1-160555.5%
8Detroit Tigers76-86.46927L1+71393.9%
9Seattle Mariners76-86.46927W2-58272.7%
10Minnesota Twins77-85.47526W1-58181.8%
11St. Louis Cardinals77-85.47526L4-29141.4%
12Washington Nationals77-85.47526W1+6111.1%
13Toronto Blue Jays79-83.48824W1-4690.9%
14Baltimore Orioles79-82.49123.5L1-2180.8%
15Miami Marlins80-82.49423W1+360.6%
16Texas Rangers80-82.49423L1-4650.5%
17Houston Astros81-81.50022W2-3240.4%
18Pittsburgh Pirates82-80.50621W1+2820.2%
19Chicago White Sox84-78.51919W1+56--
20Cleveland Guardians85-77.52518L1+11--
21Arizona Diamondbacks86-76.53117L2+9--
22Boston Red Sox87-75.53716L1+78--
23Philadelphia Phillies88-74.54315W1+15--
24Chicago Cubs89-73.54914W1+147--
25San Diego Padres91-71.56212W2+41--
26New York Yankees93-68.5789.5W1+138--
27Atlanta Braves94-68.5809L1+116--
28Tampa Bay Rays98-64.6055L1+86--
29Los Angeles Dodgers100-62.6173W3+201--
30Milwaukee Brewers103-59.636-W5+214--

2026 lottery odds

Combination counts as published by the league.

MLB draft lottery combination counts and draw odds for 2026.
SeedTeamCombinationsDraw odds
1Colorado Rockies16516.50%
2Los Angeles Angels16516.50%
3Athletics16516.50%
4San Francisco Giants13213.20%
5Kansas City Royals10010.00%
6New York Mets757.50%
7Cincinnati Reds555.50%
8Detroit Tigers393.90%
9Seattle Mariners272.70%
10Minnesota Twins181.80%
11St. Louis Cardinals141.40%
12Washington Nationals111.10%
13Toronto Blue Jays90.90%
14Baltimore Orioles80.80%
15Miami Marlins60.60%
16Texas Rangers50.50%
17Houston Astros40.40%
18Pittsburgh Pirates20.20%

How the MLB lottery works

  1. 1The lottery decides the first six picks only. All 18 clubs that miss the postseason are entered, minus those excluded by the repeat rule.
  2. 2Seeds are set by inverse winning percentage. Identical records are separated by the previous season's record rather than a coin flip, so every club holds a distinct number of balls.
  3. 3The three worst clubs each receive 165 of the 1,000 balls, and the allocation falls to 2 balls for the best non-playoff club.
  4. 4Revenue-sharing recipients cannot receive a lottery pick in three consecutive drafts, and every other club cannot receive one in two consecutive drafts.
  5. 5Excluded clubs are removed from the drawing entirely, so the remaining clubs' effective odds are their ball count divided by the eligible total. An excluded club also cannot pick earlier than 10th overall.
  6. 6Picks 7 through 18 go to the remaining non-playoff clubs by inverse record, adjusted for that floor.

Frequently asked questions

How many picks does the MLB draft lottery decide?

Six. The remaining non-playoff clubs fill picks 7 through 18 in inverse order of winning percentage.

What are the odds of winning the MLB draft lottery?

The three clubs with the worst records each hold 165 of the 1,000 balls, 16.5 percent before exclusions. Because ineligible clubs are removed from the drawing entirely, the effective odds for eligible clubs are higher than the base table.

Why are some MLB teams ineligible for the draft lottery?

The collective bargaining agreement blocks repeat winners. Revenue-sharing recipients cannot land a top-six lottery pick three years running, and all other clubs cannot do it two years running.

Data notes

  • MLB breaks identical winning percentages using the previous season's record, which is not modelled here.