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Draft Lottery Simulator

Simulate the MLB Draft Lottery for the top six picks, including the repeat rule that removes clubs from the drawing entirely.

2026 MLB Draft Lottery Simulator

Live standings updated ET

PickTeam
  1. 1Colorado RockiesSeed 1
  2. 2Los Angeles AngelsSeed 2
  3. 3AthleticsSeed 3
  4. 4San Francisco GiantsSeed 4
  5. 5Kansas City RoyalsSeed 5
  6. 6New York MetsSeed 6
  7. 7Seattle MarinersSeed 7
  8. 8Washington NationalsSeed 8
  9. 9Cincinnati RedsSeed 9
  10. 10Minnesota TwinsSeed 10
  11. 11Detroit TigersSeed 11
  12. 12Baltimore OriolesSeed 12
  13. 13Miami MarlinsSeed 13
  14. 14Texas RangersSeed 14
  15. 15St. Louis CardinalsSeed 15
  16. 16Toronto Blue JaysSeed 16
  17. 17Houston AstrosSeed 17
  18. 18Pittsburgh PiratesSeed 18

Full odds distribution

Simulate 10,000 lotteries to see each seed's chance at every pick, including the effect of caps and floors.

Run the distribution to see how often each seed lands on each pick.

2026 draft board

Top 18 teams are in the lottery, ordered worst record first.

Full draft order
MLB 2026 standings sorted into projected draft order, with lottery combinations and odds.
PickTeamRecordPctGBStrkDiffCombosNo. 1 odds
1Colorado Rockies55-95.36738L8-17016516.5%
2Los Angeles Angels57-93.38036W1-7416516.5%
3Athletics61-89.40732W1-20316516.5%
4San Francisco Giants62-89.41131.5L4-7813213.2%
5Kansas City Royals66-84.44027L2-9410010.0%
6New York Mets69-81.46024L2-35757.5%
7Seattle Mariners70-81.46423.5L2-60555.5%
8Washington Nationals70-81.46423.5W3+3393.9%
9Cincinnati Reds70-80.46723L1-148272.7%
10Minnesota Twins70-80.46723L2-67181.8%
11Detroit Tigers71-79.47322W5+71141.4%
12Baltimore Orioles73-78.48320.5W1-34111.1%
13Miami Marlins74-77.49019.5L1+590.9%
14Texas Rangers74-76.49319W2-4480.8%
15St. Louis Cardinals75-76.49718.5W2-660.6%
16Toronto Blue Jays75-76.49718.5L1-3250.5%
17Houston Astros75-75.50018L3-5340.4%
18Pittsburgh Pirates75-75.50018W1+2620.2%
19Cleveland Guardians76-75.50317.5L1-11--
20Chicago White Sox77-73.51316W1+38--
21Arizona Diamondbacks80-71.53013.5W1+3--
22Boston Red Sox82-68.54711W2+88--
23San Diego Padres82-68.54711W8+23--
24Philadelphia Phillies83-67.55310W1+31--
25Chicago Cubs84-67.5569.5W1+142--
26New York Yankees87-63.5806W2+130--
27Atlanta Braves88-63.5835.5L2+112--
28Tampa Bay Rays90-59.6042.5W3+69--
29Los Angeles Dodgers91-59.6072W1+173--
30Milwaukee Brewers93-57.620-L1+195--

2026 lottery odds

Combination counts as published by the league.

MLB draft lottery combination counts and draw odds for 2026.
SeedTeamCombinationsDraw odds
1Colorado Rockies16516.50%
2Los Angeles Angels16516.50%
3Athletics16516.50%
4San Francisco Giants13213.20%
5Kansas City Royals10010.00%
6New York Mets757.50%
7Seattle Mariners555.50%
8Washington Nationals393.90%
9Cincinnati Reds272.70%
10Minnesota Twins181.80%
11Detroit Tigers141.40%
12Baltimore Orioles111.10%
13Miami Marlins90.90%
14Texas Rangers80.80%
15St. Louis Cardinals60.60%
16Toronto Blue Jays50.50%
17Houston Astros40.40%
18Pittsburgh Pirates20.20%

How the MLB lottery works

  1. 1The lottery decides the first six picks only. All 18 clubs that miss the postseason are entered, minus those excluded by the repeat rule.
  2. 2Seeds are set by inverse winning percentage. Identical records are separated by the previous season's record rather than a coin flip, so every club holds a distinct number of balls.
  3. 3The three worst clubs each receive 165 of the 1,000 balls, and the allocation falls to 2 balls for the best non-playoff club.
  4. 4Revenue-sharing recipients cannot receive a lottery pick in three consecutive drafts, and every other club cannot receive one in two consecutive drafts.
  5. 5Excluded clubs are removed from the drawing entirely, so the remaining clubs' effective odds are their ball count divided by the eligible total. An excluded club also cannot pick earlier than 10th overall.
  6. 6Picks 7 through 18 go to the remaining non-playoff clubs by inverse record, adjusted for that floor.

Frequently asked questions

How many picks does the MLB draft lottery decide?

Six. The remaining non-playoff clubs fill picks 7 through 18 in inverse order of winning percentage.

What are the odds of winning the MLB draft lottery?

The three clubs with the worst records each hold 165 of the 1,000 balls, 16.5 percent before exclusions. Because ineligible clubs are removed from the drawing entirely, the effective odds for eligible clubs are higher than the base table.

Why are some MLB teams ineligible for the draft lottery?

The collective bargaining agreement blocks repeat winners. Revenue-sharing recipients cannot land a top-six lottery pick three years running, and all other clubs cannot do it two years running.

Data notes

  • MLB breaks identical winning percentages using the previous season's record, which is not modelled here.